A look at my predictions since the blog's inception. August Totals: Accuracy 70 %, Points awarded: 7.5 of 11
8/31/2005 - Katrina & Economy -
"I believe this is the first wave of the depression of 2005. Look for staggering heating costs with natural gas come this winter combined with yet increasing gas costs looking to take on the $4 benchmark."Points awarded: 1.5 of 2 (Gas eyed up $4, but then backed off)
8/29/2005 - Greenspan Crash -
"I believe that Mr. Greenspan's statements will scare the market into further decline over the next few months."Points awarded: 0.5 of 1 (This depends on which numbers you look at.)
8/23/2005 - Roberts, Conservative? -
"Look for Roberts to hold a conservative line for a while, disarming most arguments against his nomination."Points awarded: 0 of 0 (Too early for this one)
8/16/2005 - Gaza Watch -
"Watch for increased hostility in the region and added tension in Israeli/Palestinian relations."Points awarded: 1 of 1 (Hamas in charge of Palestine, Iran in the crosshairs...I should get bonus points.)
8/10/2005 - Fed & Oil -
"I believe ...by plunging the American economy dramatically, suddenly and then selling off her assets gradually over the next year ending roughly in June of next year."Points awarded: 0 of 0 (Too early for this one)
8/8/2005 - Thompson Chipped -
"Look for a continued development in the surrounding propaganda regarding Verichip and RFID and a continued marketing push for more to 'take the chip' to become trendy, safe, or perhaps even patriotic."Points awarded: 1 of 1 (Even though we were lied to about his faux chipping)
8/8/2005 - Crude Update -
"Look for gas prices to continue to etch up in increments as the cost of crude explodes.""look for continued emphasis on the previous record in the 1980's being unmatched with inflation factored in."Points awarded: 2 of 2
8/5/2005 - Terror Targets 2005 -
"(Sometime in the next 6 months)... look for a possible suitcase nuke to level a small area roughly the size of a new tower."Points awarded: 0 of 1 (Even though it is still extremely likely)
8/5/2005 - CAFTA -
"Look for an increasingly economic slide of the economy in the 2nd half of 2005 that causes the dollar to slide even further against the Euro setting the stage for a Union currency proposed to be called the Amero."Points awarded: 1 of 2 (The economy did suffer, yet the dollar increased vs. the euro for that period)
8/2/2005 - Free Speech London -
"Continued evaporation of public perception of their inalienable rights."Points awarded: 0.5 of 1 (The exact opposite is true in some circles)
July Totals: Accuracy 80 %, Points awarded: 6.5 of 8
7/12/2005 - 777 London Update -
"Increased police security in the UK and US: New support for mandatory British ID cards, police on trains", " CAFTA - set to pass which will not be vetoed by just-say-yes Bush", "Iran - Perhaps some sort of link between the "suicide bombers" and the alleged bombers will emerge." "There quite possibly will be a larger attack in either Europe or the US." "Oil - $62 a barrel oil"Points awarded: 6.5 of 8 (This is a tough one to score. Unfortunately I wasn't specific enough for good long term prediction scoring. I discounted the "Iran" connection even though a good case could be made for it.)
June Totals: Accuracy 84.6 %, Points awarded: 5.5 of 6.5 (Not bad for your first month)
6/27/2005 - Gas Watch -
" increase of gasoline prices by about 5% in the near future resulting in roughly $2.45 gas in the southeastern WI area."Points awarded: 1 of 1
6/23/2005 - Kelo Fallout -
""officials" all over the country will continue to confiscate property"Points awarded: 1 of 1 (Like shooting fish in a barrel)
6/21/2005 - Gas Watch -
"...anticipate $2.50 gas within 3 months."Points awarded: 1 of 1 (Hit well over $3 in September)
6/17/2005 - Iran Watch -
"Iran is in the crosshairs as of mid to late 2005."Points awarded: 0 of 1 (Even though I am only off by a few months)
6/15/2005 - Crude Watch -
"Crude will double over next year, Hybrids will increase, SUV’s decrease"Points awarded: 2.5 of 2.5
Edited for appearance and labels on 5/3/2010.
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