Thursday, November 11, 2010

Serious Disturbances in Munincipal Debt Funds

Denninger notices some major issues -
I'd pay attention to these.....
That's IQI, a levered municipal bond fund. It yields 6.5% at present - totally unsustainable in today's ZIRP environment. At that discount (from recent price destruction) you're either getting the buy of the century or the portfolio is about to detonate in your face. Pick one.
This would be California municipal debt run by PIMCO. Yielding 7.8% (!!!) Again, you're either getting the buy of the century here, or you're about to get utterly destroyed.
Then there's New York. At today's price, this yields 5.8%. Again, either you're getting the buy of the century on this fund or you're fixing to get utterly trashed in the coming months.

Note that the last time we saw this sort of distortion the fund price declines were correct, and they presaged a detonation in the stock market. Yes, they were early - substantially so in the case of some of these. But they were correct - the credit market usually is in leading the stock market.
The Real Effect
I learned a fairly important lesson this year, namely, never underestimate a criminal's ability to lie, hide and obfuscate. In addition, this ability becomes compounded as the group gets larger and larger.

For instance, back in August I ran a stunningly accurate piece on the Dow's behavior for the next several months. I further followed up, enumerating almost exactly how the market's would behave -
Watch for the Dow to crash through support levels at 10,636 then 10,366 before it meets some resistance at 10,098 with a slight bounce around mid-September. Then all hell breaks loose as it violently crashes through any support that is offered realizing 300-1000 point drops as it rejoins the downward trend in October before finally meeting firm resistance at 9686. When that resistance finally gives way, say around November, look for increased panic as assets are sold off left and right to meet the dread margin calls as foolish investors get scalped.
At least it was accurate until very last prediction which exploded in my face, violently. If I had been banking on the breakthrough in October, I would have been financially destroyed as the exact opposite happened. Oh sure, all the stops along the way were realized, but what I critically failed to anticipate was the show that the Fed wanted to put on for the election. After the stops, the Fed dumped cash into the markets, propping it up and just about destroying the dollar in the process. If one views the Dow in inflation adjusted terms, there was a correction that month, not a gain.

All of that being said, it appears that the piper still needs to be paid and the back half of my prediction is still intact. Things are already shaking, question is, will it fall apart?

Ireland Is Getting Pummeled, Again

The Irish are in desperate need of a bailout...

The endgame for Ireland is at most a week away: outcome is simple - bailout or failure. One wonders which the central bankers will pick...
  • Honohan: IMF Package Would Look Same As Current Policies
  • Honohan: Irish Bank Borrowing From ECB Exceptionally Large
  • Honohan: ECB Would Like Irish Banks To Get Back To Self Reliance.
  • Honohan: ECB Won't Curtail Irish Banks' Access To Financing.

The Irish Bunds spread has now surged to 631, +64 bps on the day!
Seems like the Irish aren't the only ones with issues either -
A group of demonstrators broke into the headquarters of Britain's governing Conservative Party in London Wednesday, spray-painting anarchy symbols and setting off flares before being forced out of the building.

They went on to set fires outside the building.
The old black bloc anarchist trick again? That is definitely getting old.

The Real Effect
This will mean that the dollar will rally for a time, like it did back in May during the initial European crisis as investors take flight to safety. (Relative) However, this is somewhat meaningless as the overall general trend for the dollar is down, not up and the price of commodities are going up not down.

Wednesday, November 10, 2010

Greenspan Admission

The Tea Party Is Being Betrayed Already

Not that this wasn't going to be incredibly obvious from day 1 -
Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell is maneuvering behind the scenes to defeat a conservative plan aimed at restricting earmarks, setting up a high-stakes showdown that pits the GOP leader and his “Old Bull” allies against Sen. Jim DeMint (R-S.C.) and a new breed of conservative senators.

In a series of one-on-one conversations with incoming and sitting senators, McConnell is encouraging his colleagues to keep an open mind and not to automatically side with DeMint, whose plan calls on Senate Republicans to unilaterally give up earmarks in the 112th Congress, according to several people familiar with the talks.

While McConnell is not demanding that rank-and-file Republican senators vote against the earmark ban, he’s laying out his concerns that eliminating earmarks would effectively cede Congress’ spending authority to the White House while not making a real dent in the $1 trillion-plus budget deficit. And McConnell is signaling his concern about the awkward politics of the situation: even if the DeMint moratorium passes, Republican senators could push for earmarks, given that the plan is nonbinding and non-enforceable.
The Real Effect
I forgot, as long as there is an R next to your name, you too may participate in the idiocy of "Tax and Spend". And I am certain that there is "a good reason" to support such a plan as there always is such as - getting Republicans re-elected in the most important election evah, not governing too far to the right, consensus building, saving ducks in Madagascar and the like...

Republicans, let me repeat -
Despite all of this, the cure is not to be found in the immediate past. Rather we must capture a page from the obstinate among us. Those of us that refuse to "do something" about these problems and emphatically allow the free market to work.

  1. Cut taxes - Across the board
    1. No VAT or Fair taxes, you have enough money.
    2. End the property, income and various taxes which eat away at our prosperity
  2. Prosecute the fraud in the banking system
    1. Simply put, jail the corrupt bankers.
  3. Cut the size of government by 1/3 at least.
    1. Start with your checks. We've already given you ours. 
  4. No new wars.
If you refuse to do this, you will be removed in the next election until We the People, find a Representative who will represent us, not the other way around. Hmmm...imagine that.

Currency Wars: US to Send Tsunami of Printed Money

Ireland Is In Serious Trouble

Of course the solution will be to kick the can down the road -
In a front page story on Monday "The New York Times" is reporting that Ireland’s debt woes have “stoked fear that it might even need to follow Greece and request a bailout from the European Union and the International Monetary Fund.”

Such a move could "do lasting damage to Ireland’s credit standing.” The Times says.

In a story entitled “Irish debt woes revive concern about Europe” the newspaper reports that the Irish bond market already in free fall plunged further after the government announced massive new spending cuts.

The Times stated that “Investors took it not as a sign of resolve but rather of Ireland’s desperation and uncertainty about the true extent of its problems.”

They noted that the yield on Ireland’s 10-year bond climbed to 7.6 percent on Friday, opening a huge gap on the 2.5 percent interest rate on comparable bonds issued by Germany.

“The scale of the deficits are just so big,” said Philip R. Lane, a professor of international economics at Trinity College in Dublin., The Times notes that Ireland has “enough cash on hand to allow it to finance government operations through June 2011.”
The Real Effect
You mean borrowing more money didn't work? NO WAY!?! Well perhaps if we try it again it will this time!

Of course, we examined this back in February before the issues with Greece were prominent.
I do know that Greece's woes are going to blow out into the eurozone specifically Spain, Portugal, Italy and Ireland as they are all big holders of Greek bonds. This in turn will cause their economies to suffer as the fallout becomes contagious. Yet America plugs along, content to repeat these mistakes as we "integrate" and "harmonize" our way into oblivion.

Tuesday, November 09, 2010

Peter Schiff on CNBC 11/05/10

Insanity Becomes Normal - A Missile Launch Off the Coast of CA, China Downgrades US

Denninger deals with the possible actors -

What if this wasn't one of ours?
Who else has this capability? China? Russia? Is this some sort of warning to Obama and/or Bernanke?

Where was it launched from?
Sea-launched, as near as we can tell - but surface or submarine? Given the commercial and recreational vessel traffic in that area, if this was ship-launched someone should have seen the launching vessel. Now, more than 12 hours later, there are no reports of anyone having it on radar. Note that private vessel radars are quite-capable of resolving a ship large enough to launch something like this from the distance to the horizon. My ship's radar was quite-capable of resolving a vessel of this size if low to the water in the 10-12 mile range (curvature of the earth) and if the vessel had significant superstructure above the water, even further. If this thing was submarine launched then it gets even more interesting.

Why the silence?
I find it very unlikely this was one of ours - unless it was a mistake. An intentional launch - even of a missile with a dummy "warhead" - this close to LA? No way. A malfunction could have sent that thing right into downtown before it could be destroyed, and even unarmed it would do a hell of a lot of damage. For this reason I do not believe this was an intentional US test.

Where were the NOTAMs if this was ours?
Missing, that's where. Multiple reports now that there were NO notices posted for aviators. No way in hell our military intentionally launches a missile without posting NOTAMs for the civilian air system before it happens. This means it either wasn't ours, or wasn't intentionally launched.
The Real Effect
It's possible that this has something to do with this -
Dagong has downgraded the local and foreign currency long term sovereign credit rating of the United States of America (hereinafter referred to as “United States” ) from “AA” to “A+“, which reflects its deteriorating debt repayment capability and drastic decline of the government’s intention of debt repayment.

The serious defects in the United States economic development and management model will lead to the long-term recession of its national economy, fundamentally lowering the national solvency. The new round of quantitative easing monetary policy adopted by the Federal Reserve has brought about an obvious trend of depreciation of the U.S. dollar, and the continuation and deepening of credit crisis in the U.S. Such a move entirely encroaches on the interests of the creditors, indicating the decline of the U.S. government’s intention of debt repayment.

Folks, these sort of things are real serious as this is how wars get started. Back in May we posted the following -
Keep your eyes open folks and get to the bottom of every story. These are the times in which the world's "rules" are rewritten by the victors of the upcoming war.

States Going Belly Up Part 14 - The Fed Adopts a State

California hits up the Federal Pump -
Fitting in perfectly with the previous article by Ron Paul suggesting the dissolution of the US welfare state, we now read that insolvent California is borrowing $40 million each day from the Federal government to pay for unemployment insurance. And while we won't comment on the ethics of all of America paying for one insolvent state's unemployment problems, what does need to be highlighted is that California, which already owes $8.6 billion to the government will have to cut a check for $362-million to Washington by the end of next September. As California, as pointed out earlier, is insolvent, it will never make this payment. Which means that we now have a timeline of when the Fed will start bailing out bankrupt states, and that QE3 will next focus monetizing on municipal debt.
The Real Effect
Long time readers of the blog would remember when this was predicted -
In April -

In June, California has bonds due and they're in the same boat. There's a world of hurt coming fast. I think they can prop it up a bit longer perhaps 3-6 months? But every time they do, they make the end result that much more devastating, EXPONENTIALLY.
and...
Knowing their back is up against a wall, look for States to start to moan to the Feds about a State emergency fund similar to Europe's. Except, this ploy won't work either. After all someone has to pay the piper and the globalists seem to feel it's you.

But this is exactly what the IMF and globalists want to stoke the riotous fires at home.

Now, it should be obvious that California is done if they are borrowing that much money from the Fed already. I would assume that the next step would be for good 'ole Jerry Brown to start laying off the unions somehow. This leads to the aforementioned riots.

Monday, November 08, 2010

'US media-numbed, bankers pocket $144 billion bonus'

ATM's Crash, National Bank Holiday Coming?

Things are getting intense out there -

Following rumors of a “bank holiday” that could limit or prevent altogether cash withdrawals later this week, Twitter and other Internet forums were raging yesterday about numerous ATMs across the country that crashed in the early hours of Sunday morning, preventing customers from performing basic transactions.

It’s unknown whether the crashes were partly a result of a surge of people trying to withdraw their money in preparation for any feared bank shutdown, or if mere technical glitches were to blame. The fact that the problem affected numerous different banks in different parts of the U.S. would seem to indicate the former.

The Orange County Register reported that the problems were “part of a national outage” which prevented people from performing simple transactions such as cashing checks and withdrawing money.

“Computer issues” were blamed for similar issues in Phoenix Arizona, while in Birmingham Alabama, Wells Fargo customers’ online banking accounts and ATMs displayed incorrect balances.

The banks primarily affected were Wells Fargo, Chase and Bank of America, but according to blogger Phil Brennan, who studied Twitter feeds and other Internet message boards that were alight with the story, numerous other financial institutions were also affected, including US Bank, Compass, USAA, Suntrust, Fairwinds Credit Union, American Express, BB&T on the East Coast and PNC.
The Real Effect
The fact that the Twitters are being spread so rampantly leads me to think that the average person is genuinely shocked that they don't have control over their own money. I am also inclined to think that the banks will blame the crashes not on their own policy issues, but the rumors.

For those of you tempted to agree with the banks, ask yourselves just who owns the money if you can make deposits, but not withdrawals?

Look for continued stress tests on the systems as everyone in the know prepares for The Collapse. Up next after the collapse, the Phoenix event.

Saturday, November 06, 2010

Digital Papers Please

The U.K. proves that they love the police state gizmos-
Even the most law-abiding driver might feel a shiver down the spine when spotting this speed camera at the roadside.
For as well as detecting speeding, it is packed with gizmos that check number plates to make sure insurance and tax are up to date.

It also measures the distance between vehicles to spot tailgating and takes pictures of the inside of the car – to make sure you are wearing a seat belt.

It is the first to detect multiple offences at the same time and is connected to police computers via satellite, so that prosecutions can be started within seconds of any offence.
The Real Effect
What can a person say other than wow?

Friday, November 05, 2010

Banks Sucking People Dry

The Vampire Squid's cousin -
Miss Hannibal, from Colchester, Essex, opened a basic current account with the bank when she was 15 but in 2008 it was upgraded to a 'silver' account.

For an £8 monthly payment, the new account offered a range of benefits to the customer, such as travel insurance, mobile phone insurance and breakdown cover.

But Miss Hannibal said that after the monthly charge for the service was taken out, she was left with an unauthorised overdraft of 8p and ordered to pay a penalty of £170.

Struggling to pay her bills and the rent, Miss Hannibal offered to pay the bank charge at a rate of £30 a month.

However, she said that before the debt was paid, even more charges were added and she and her partner have now shelled out £1000 in instalments and lump sums since 2008.

The couple, who had a baby daughter Ashlyn two weeks ago, still owe £700 and the young mum said she is still being charged £10 a day for the overdrawn account, which she has not used since 2008. (Emphasis mine)
The Real Effect
Let's recap shall we, Miss Hannibal opens an account with the bank, the bank "upgrades" her account without her permission, then seizes her hard earned money causing her to overdraw 8p ($.13). Then, as part of the banks service to her, they "fine" her £170 ($270).

She offers to settle with them by paying £30 a month until the alleged "debt" is paid off and in fact, starts paying. After paying the bank £1000, she still "owes" the institution £700. Why? Because the bank says so, that's why.

Having been the recipient of these types of charges before, I can completely relate. Once you are under the "fee" regime, it is an unending slew of charges, interest fees and insane payment schedules which never relent. After all, according to the bank, you "owe" them for their "service" to you. Never mind the fact that you didn't agree to it. Their "records" demonstrate that you owe it and to many judges, that's more than enough to convict you and destroy your "credit rating".

Wednesday, November 03, 2010

Is Obama A Keynesian? Rally For Sanity, 10/30/10

That By Which the Red Fire Burns


That which has been is what will be,
That which is done is what will be done,
And there is nothing new under the sun.
Ecclesiastes 1:9
While initially encouraging from its appearance, Tuesday nights elections had a very familiar tone to it, as if we had all been down this path before. Could it be the destruction of the Republican party in 2008 on the back of "Hope and Change"? No. Perhaps it was the "Red State Mandate" of 2004? No, that's not it either. Surely it must have been the "Contract With America" of 1994?

Whatever your take, America has once again voted for Liberty and politicians and once again they shall be disappointed when they receive more of the latter and less of the former. Such is the way with men, tempted by so much power. If only... becomes the vehicle by which the child slaves are offered up to the insatiable fires of Moloch.

For on the horizon, the enemy comes into view. Countless times he has deceived the good people into thinking that he is their friend and Liberty is the mortal enemy of safety. Even now, the song beckons the new class, lulling them into a compromise which they should not accept and we cannot afford.

For as I write this, the death of the dollar rolls into view -
The Federal Reserve will probably introduce an unprecedented second round of unconventional monetary easing tomorrow by announcing a plan to buy at least $500 billion of long-term securities, according to economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.
This will become the largest issue facing the country in the year to come. With a plunging dollar, capital wealth will follow, housing prices will crash, unemployment will soar and the people will become desperate. If only...echoes as a log is placed on the fire to keep the embers alive for one day more. Surely if we give them our children, then the hunger will be satisfied.

This is not a problem that started in 2008 and certainly not one that will be fixed in 2011. It is an endemic issue that has infected our entire way of thinking be it of the Red, Blue or Purple persuasion. The rampant fraud plaguing the housing sector will surface as a cancer that will destroy the residual value left in this once great nation. If only...we spend our way into prosperity, then we shall see an end to this calamity and the country will place it's final foot into the graveyard of history.

Despite all of this, the cure is not to be found in the immediate past. Rather we must capture a page from the obstinate among us. Those of us that refuse to "do something" about these problems and emphatically allow the free market to work.
  1. Cut taxes - Across the board
    1. No VAT or Fair taxes, you have enough money.
    2. End the property, income and various taxes which eat away at our prosperity
  2. Prosecute the fraud in the banking system
    1. Simply put, jail the corrupt bankers.
  3. Cut the size of government by 1/3 at least.
    1. Start with your checks. We've already given you ours. 
  4. No new wars.

History is a harsh master and if it is to be believed, most, if not all will fall by the wayside of Liberty to heed the call of political expediency. Yet, all is not lost, for out of this fire and calamity that surrounds us will forge the constitutions of the next great generation to govern this country.

There once a madman, a criminal rejected by this world who said the following -
"Enter by the narrow gate; for wide is the gate and broad is the way that leads to destruction, and there are many who go in by it. Because narrow is the gate and difficult is the way which leads to life, and there are few who find it."

Monday, November 01, 2010

Backstabbing Republicans Sweeping Into Power, The Tea Party Gets a Wake Up Call

Vox sheds some much needed light on the upcoming rebranding of the U.S. Congress and the Republican joke "Pledge to America" -
Very well. Smaller government sounds good. Saving $100 billion in the first year alone sounds like a lot. Now, what was the federal budget in 2010? According to "A New Era of Responsibility: Renewing America's Promise" which is the Orwellian title for The United States Federal Budget for Fiscal Year 2010, the 2010 budget is $3.552 trillion. And according to the most recent estimate in July, the deficit alone is going to be $1.47 trillion instead of the $1.171 trillion originally forecast.

So, Republicans are going to cut 2.8% of the federal budget, or if you prefer, 6.8% of the federal budget deficit. In other words, if the nation were a car speeding towards a canyon at 70 miles per hour, the Republicans master plan for saving the passengers would be to slow the car down to 65.2 MPH!
The Real Effect
Back in 2008 it was an absolute joy to watch all the idiotic nonsense surrounding "Hope and Change". At the time, one would have thought that Jesus himself had returned and parted the Re(d)publican Sea and led the Democrats into the promised land. By golly this country had seen the light and was going to move forward, for whatever that's worth. Just, two short years later and the Dems are turning on Obama by the legions and joining in the new wave of Republican righteousness.

To this end, the new Tea Party, copying the success of the original Tea Party founded in the aftermath of the amazing End the Fed/Ron Paul/Campaign for Liberty rallies of 2007, has left it's roots searching for a new pimp to hook it up with THE POWER.

Yet, despite all of their insistence to the contrary, the new Tea Party has bought the red version of the same pill handed to the Democrats in 2008. Sure, all the rhetoric sounds good (as it did in 1980, 1994, 2000), but we all know that once she's in the car, the Tea Party will be relegated to the back seat with the children while the adults govern the country just as they have in the past. Poorly.

The Real Effect covered this in July, Sept 28, and the Religious War series, in which the case was laid out for a major betrayal of the Tea Party once the right rides their coat-tails into Washington, robs them, and leaves them on the side of the road. This leads us to the present election.

So prediction time: I believe it's going to be an absolute blowout tomorrow with the Republicans regaining the House for sure and probably going to slight lead in the Senate. (1 seat advantage?). This will set the stage for the next 2 years as the talk becomes less about big government, rights and liberty and more about retaining the power so that the next most important election everrrrrr can be morphed into supporting the Republican right.

In addition, this will lead to calls from the religious right about supporting our "authorities" in their time of need to turn back the tide of evil. In other words, the election will become a stepping grounds towards rempowering the neocons over the neolibs in the 2012 election and I believe that morality will become a very important election issue at that point.

The original Tea Party however, becomes marginalized as the economic situation plays out with the right siding with the Fraudulent Banksters, big government and globalists because the problems were just too much, the banks were too big to fail and no one could have seen the crash coming.

Monday, October 25, 2010

U.S. Dollar Unhinges (Review), Commodities Surge

There was a massive flash crash in the dollar this weekend -
If this crash in the DXY (seen below) had happened during regular hours, apparently driven not by the dollar but by DXY component EUR (there was no comparable move in other USD pairs), it would have created a complete market collapse. Luckily it happened an hour after close.
Followed up by issues Sunday night -
Goldman came out with a report basically demanding (you know how these guys are) $4 trillion in money printing - so says the FX chatter and Zerohedge.

The result? The dollar took an instant header, down more than a 1/2% this evening alone.

How about the price of some of the things sensitive to threats of monetary debasement? These are all price changes since the futures started trading this evening - that is, they're six hour changes in price. These are all things you need to buy, either directly or indirectly.

Oil, up 1%.

Wheat, up 1.49%.

Corn, up 2.05%. (Oh yeah, and ethanol on your gas will soon be mandated to be 15%, not 10%.)

Soy, up 1.5%.

Rough Rice, up 1.51%.

Oats, up a stunning 4.27% (!)

Cotton is lock-limit up 500 ticks. To be fair there's a crop disruption related to Cotton, which is adding to the problem. Dollar debasement, of course, isn't helping.
How is the dollar fairing overall?
The dollar's slump could get far worse if the dollar index takes out last year's low, Robin Griffiths, technical strategist at Cazenove Capital, told CNBC Monday.

"If the (dollar index) takes out the low that was made roughly a year ago I really think that will not only encourage more sales, it will cause a little bit of minor panic," Griffiths said. "A year ago it was deemed too cheap, if it goes any lower than that it's actually become toxic waste." 
The Real Effect
We have made no secret of the prediction that the dollar was going to get thoroughly trashed -

August 5, 2005 -
Look for an increasing economic slide of the economy in the 2nd half of 2005 that causes the dollar to slide even further against the Euro setting the stage for a Union currency proposed to be called the Amero.
August 10, 2005
I believe that the globalists are attempting to strip the American Economy by devaluing the dollar, weakening the American military through multiple prolonged conflicts and the removal of what was outstanding American influence over many countries in order to prepare us for a Global Union.
July 11, 2008
The dollar continues to tank with countries virtually lining up to fling it off the monetary cliff. This is while costs stack up from the Afghan/Iraq conflict.
June 15, 2009 -
The US dollar is going to tank (think Iceland) 
Notice the escalation in rhetoric over the years as the position of the Real Effect goes from "slide" to "tank"? This is because we are looking at long term trends, not immediate conclusions. So while the dollar may go up for a little while from here, it will continue to return to this position repeatedly, creating new lows along the way. Then, at some unfortunate point, the entire situation becomes uncontrollable and the US becomes a banana republic.

This position seems closer every day, but I believe that the illusion needs to be maintained until after the Republicans regain seats in Congress, then the situation can be "blamed" on them.

Wednesday, October 20, 2010

Bank of America Gets Creamed - Issues Surrounding the Housing Debacle

“Crime is contagious. If the government becomes a law-breaker, it breeds contempt for the law.” – Justice Louis D. Brandeis
From the ninth gate of hell -
The New York Federal Reserve Bank is part of a consortium of eight large institutional investment firms that is demanding that Bank of America repurchase loans included in mortgage securities.

Bloomberg reported earlier Tuesday that the New York Fed had joined with the Pacific Investment Management Company, better known as Pimco, and investment management firm BlackRock in an attempt to force BofA to buy back $47 billion in mortgage bonds.
The markets responded accordingly, slaughtering BOA's stock by 4.38% for the day.

The Real Effect
There are so many issues, where do we even start?
  • Issue #1 - The banks fraudulently loaned money to parties they knew could not repay. (Subprime crisis)
  • Issue #2 - They committed fraud against the deed recording agencies by knowingly transferring deeds against many state law in a complex shell game called MERS. This was to avoid paying taxes on these transfers which would have sucked out the profits on the transactions.(These are the supposed "clerical errors")
    • The institutions committed loan title fraud to hide this fact by shredding documents to keep things easy and clear.
  • Issue #3 - They then split the mortgages into tranches and then fraudulently sold these investment instruments to individuals and companies that used these in part for leverage to the tune of quadrillions of dollars.
    • Mutual and pension funds invested in these assets believing they were solvent.
      • The sellers of the securities lied repeatedly.
"It appears as though many loans and other mortgage-related assets have been double and even triple-pledged to various constituencies."
- Bank of America, U.S. Bankruptcy Court, Jacksonville, CASE NO. 3:09-bk-07047-JAF

And we as a country are up in arms about issue #6? There is an environment of rampant criminality in America being committed from the top down and we're worried about people, some of which are being destroyed by these institutions?! What many of these institutions deserve is cake handed to them with a guillotine!

Bank of America might have to eat $47 billion which will blow it up? Good!  Let's face it, they have technically been insolvent for years already. We as a country are just pretending they are solvent and forcing these issue into the open will end the charades.

Banks tanking, fraud, rampant losses. Now where have we seen all this before...

Tuesday, October 19, 2010

States Going Belly Up Part 13 - The Endgame Timeline

We continue our fine series on the fiscal calamities facing state budgets, namely pensions -
#1 Illinois
Year pension fund runs out: 2018
Bill in the following year: $13.6 billion
Share of state revenue: 32%

Speaking of Illinois...


#2 Connecticut
Year pension fund runs out: 2019
Bill in the following year: $4.9 billion
Share of state revenue: 27%

#3 Indiana
Year pension fund runs out: 2019
Bill in the following year: $3.6 billion
Share of state revenue: 17%

#4 New Jersey
Year pension fund runs out: 2019
Bill in the following year: $14.4 billion
Share of state revenue: 34%

#5 Hawaii
Year pension fund runs out: 2020
Bill in the following year: $1.7 billion
Share of state revenue: 24%

#6 Louisiana
Year pension fund runs out: 2020
Bill in the following year: $4.3 billion
Share of state revenue: 27%

#7 Oklahoma
Year pension fund runs out: 2020
Bill in the following year: $3.7 billion
Share of state revenue: 30%

#8 Colorado
Year pension fund runs out: 2022
Bill in the following year: $7.8 billion
Share of state revenue: 54%

#9 Kansas
Year pension fund runs out: 2022
Bill in the following year: $2.5 billion
Share of state revenue: 23%

#10 Kentucky
Year pension fund runs out: 2022
Bill in the following year: $5.3 billion
Share of state revenue: 35%

#11 New Hampshire
Year pension fund runs out: 2022
Bill in the following year: $1.0 billion
Share of state revenue: 30%
The Real Effect
Woo boy, that's pretty soon. Now, I'm going to go out on a limb here and guess that these projections factor in an economic recovery and do not include the current housing crisis let alone the Depression. Following the government time rule of 1/3 (to factor in the propensity of government to massively step up their idiocy) that would mean Illinois will be bankrupt in 2015 without a housing crisis. Add in some losses in a few major banks and some extra dependency claims and this becomes a crisis that needs dealing with NOW.

Taken together, the bill for the top 11 states would be 62.8 BILLION dollars. That's just the top 11, and doesn't even include other expenditures. Now what public service worker in their right mind is going to like loosing their pension? Oh that's right, the politicians got a solution to this problem.

Austerity Coming to the U.K.?

It looks like some major economic hurt is coming to the U.K. in very short order here -



The Real Effect
I warned way back in February, the U.K. was in trouble and explained further in August the "austerity" that was coming to America and the world -
Irregardless of the specific subject of austerity, from government's perspective, the one who will always pay is the taxpayer. The bourgeoisie view the populace at large as a resource to be harvested and culled as needed in order that they can continue to "do God's work." To the career politician, the only job is convincing the subjects to go along with the haircut and indeed this is exactly how we have arrived at the abysmal conditions that we are subject to today.

Monday, October 18, 2010

Max Keiser: Dollar to be Buried Way Before 2018

How to Fix the Mortgage Mess

I think Vox nails the core of the issues here -
The only way to respect the law and minimize the effects of the damage that has already been done to the American economy by the mortgage-selling banks is as follows:
1) Free and clear title must be granted to homeowners who took out loans in which the chain of title was broken. This will mean that some people will get free houses – better innocent homeowners than criminal banks. This will support the housing market as well as the credit market since many people who are presently underwater on their home loans will be able to borrow against the value of their debt-free property.

2) Audit the mortgage-backed security sellers and force them to reimburse all buyers of fraudulent securities. This will significantly help state and local governments, whose pension funds were the primary victims of the security fraud.

3) Shut down MERS. State and local governments that lack laws enforcing the ancient land title system should immediately pass laws banning the use of electronic documentation as a legal substitute for actual paper documentation with signatures held at the county.

4) State and federal prosecution of banking employees responsible for committing MBS fraud, title transfer fraud, and foreclosure fraud, beginning with the CEOs and boards of directors.

5) Wind down the insolvent banks, including Bank of America, Citi, Wells Fargo and JP Morgan Chase. If they are not bankrupt already (and there is sound reason to believe that they are since at least 40 percent of their reported assets are in fact worthless), they will be after reimbursing the pension funds and international investors they ripped off by selling fraudulent mortgage-backed securities.

6) Congressional investigations of the regulatory bodies whose failed oversight made this vast series of banking frauds possible.

There is no question that this will be a long and painful process for the economy, but the important thing to remember is that the damage has already been done. There is no way to retroactively undo it. Every attempt to deal with the matter in any less straightforward manner is not only doomed to failure, but will definitely make matters worse because the banks responsible are still engaging in exactly the same activities that led to the present situation.
The Real Effect
Exactly. This is not going to be resolved by bailing out the banking industry again, throwing mortgagees in prison or burning down "unwanted" houses. We fix this by going back to the beginning and letting the chips fall where they should. If that bankrupts the industry, then the American people need to come with grips that we are only realizing a situation that has existed for years if not decades.

Thursday, October 14, 2010

Red Alert - Major Cracks In the US Economy

Foreclosure-gate is a mess, but the fallout is going to be far more catastrophic -
as Tracy Alloway says, mortgage-bond documentation generally says that if more than a minuscule proportion of notes in a mortgage pool weren’t properly transferred, then the trustee for the bondholders can force the investment bank who put the deal together to repurchase the mortgages. And it’s looking very much as though none of the notes were properly transferred.
"None of the notes were properly transferred"? Uh oh. That's trouble but what's even more troubling is the sentence right before it - "if more than a minuscule proportion of notes in a mortgage pool weren’t properly transferred, then the trustee for the bondholders can force the investment bank who put the deal together to repurchase the mortgages."

Get that? The trustees for the bondholders can take that "toxic derivatives" and shove it right back down the banks throat. Gee, I wonder how that bodes for the big banks, what being forced to buy back TRILLIONS of their own crappy financial instruments? (At least it looks like they're getting ready for it.)

How much? I'm glad you asked! -
More importantly, a separate study by SNL Financial has determined that the total amount of residential (not commercial) mortgages in foreclosure between directly serviced, and those serviced for others, for the big three banks alone (JPM, WFC, BAC) is nearly a quarter of a trillion dollars!
Following the triple rule of government, I'm willing to bet that this particular issue will cost closer to 3/4 of a trillion at least. But wait I'll throw in more, for..well...free!
The hole could end up being as large as a trillion if one throws in the CMBS properties that are delinquent and in foreclosure ($61 billion in August per RealPoint).
The Real Effect
As I hate saying, well I do somewhat enjoy saying it - I hate it when I'm right, again and again. But enough posturing, you pay me to make predictions! For the moment let's look at what is coming next and you would do well to listen this time.
  • This problem is only starting to be uncovered - it will get MUCH WORSE. When it does we will get the following -
    • Fannie and Freddie which are backed by the taxpayers and will start hemorrhaging money. (If you can't foreclose, and squatters aren't paying on their mortgage debts, these two companies start losing more money.) Did I mention they're taxpayer backed? Guess who pays for their "losses"? That's right, YOU.
    • When the MBS (Mortgage Backed Securities) referenced in the article go belly up, the investors in the MBS sue the pants off companies - JP Morgan, Citibank, etc because they sold the investors a LEMON. Just who are these investors? This splits into several probable issues: 
      • A) Public pensions (Cops, firefighters) vaporize - Cops go on strike, crime goes up. Think France.
      • B) Private pensions vaporize - Your grandmother goes broke. She riots with half the city! 
      • C) The aforementioned companies go broke. After all, they're being sued into the ground. 
Poof, your retirement is gone! Well, isn't it fortunate that the Democrats are here to save your pension! After all it's not fair that your neighbor's money didn't get vaporized but yours did. He should pay his fair share!

Now, what's a new Republican Congress to do? The whole system is collapsing and don't you know that those dirty, dirty Democrats did it with all their Marxist thinking. (Never mind the fact the Republicans have been along for the ride.) Well, they just have to bail out the financial sector, again because this is the worst crisis evarrrrr! I'm sure Glenn Beck, Malkin and all the RINOs will go along for the ride.

At this point they will have no choice but to nationalize everything - police, firefighters, towns, people...you all belong to the Federal Government.

But wait, won't all this downward pressure put a crushing burden on the dollar? Great, now all we need is a bad bond auction to shake the confidence of the Treasury holders. At this point we will have two choices -
  1. Sell the military to the highest bidder
  2. Attack a country (preferably the one holding the bonds) to get it's people back to work.
Do you speak Mandarin? A shame, your new bosses will!

Tuesday, October 12, 2010

Checkpoints - They Come in the Seatbelt Variety

The safety Nazis continue their expansion of the Reich -
The police chief in Pine Lawn, Rickey Collins, fired one shot at a man who allegedly fled the scene of a seat belt checkpoint Friday night.

Collins has said the driver swerved around a police cruiser near the 4400 block of Rosewood Avenue to avoid the checkpoint, striking an officer and racing off. Collins said he and another officer then pursued the suspect about a half-mile until the driver struck a light pole along Bircher Street. Collins said he chased the man as he ran from the car and, when the man made a motion as if he had a gun, Collins fired once at him.

Collins missed, but the man was arrested nearby. No gun was found on the man or in the area.

Pine Lawn police on Monday approached McCulloch's office to seek charges against the suspect. McCulloch instead asked county police to investigate the incident and took the warrant request under advisement, Fitch said.
The Real Effect
Here are some important questions and points -
  • Can we be honest about this? This is not about seatbelts, rather the "safety" argument is a politically expedient way to excuse harassing people and increase revenue generation.
  • The argument about "saving just one life" is a trumped up reason that creates an incentive to turn more activities into crimes.
  • I'm guessing that the "struck officer" wasn't so much hit as he was bumped.
  • No mention of what would cause the man to avoid the checkpoint. Curious...
  • "Made the motion as if he had a gun" And what would that be? He moved his arms? Or is this another throw away CYA by an overzealous police department?
  • And all of this justifies KILLING the man?
This doesn't get any better...but wait, it's happened before -
In June 2006, Collins — then a Pine Lawn police captain — fired a shot at a driver at a sobriety checkpoint in Pine Lawn. In that case, the driver was struck in the forearm. Collins told authorities then that he fired by accident.
This argues very well for the removal of these checkpoints. Catching slightly guilty individuals on equipment and other minor violations as well as the occasional "big criminal" does not justify terrorizing neighborhoods with badge toting thugs that see "pieces" around every corner.

As I have heard said - In order to have a police state, first you need police.

Monday, October 11, 2010

Odd Arnold News

From the oddly interesting front -
Arnold Schwarzengger inspected the foundations of Russia’s planned Silicon Valley on Monday, and heaped praise on everything from the ruling tandem to the president’s driving.

In return he was jokingly invited to take up the role of Moscow mayor when his gubernatorial term ends early next year as Dmitry Medvedev kept up the old pals patter perfected on his trip to California this summer.

Medvedev has made modernisation the focal point of his administration and is keen to bring US know-how to Skolkovo. He visited Silicon Valley during his visit to the United States in June and met Schwarzenegger during the trip.

He received a commitment from Cisco to invest $1 billion in Russian technology projects, including Skolkovo, and invited Schwarzenegger to visit Russia to see how Californian expertise could synthesise with Russian potential.

Business high-flyer and Skolkovo leading light Viktor Vekselberg played down expectations that the Kremlin and Schwarzenegger-led delegation would sign “political” contracts. The visit was “another step towards boosting cooperation between the US and Russian companies,” he told RIA Novosti.
The Real Effect
For some reason, my BS detector is screaming about this article. Something just seems all wrong about this and while I can peg some former oddities, I don't have anything solid yet. 
  • It is no secret that Arnold would like to be President of the U.S. Is this an attempt to solidify his post crisis role in a new United States?
  • Why now? Right before the elections.
  • There is too much fluff in this article - 
  • “Had a great talk abt entrepreneurship and technology [original spelling preserved],” he tweeted enthusiastically. It was followed by “Riding with Mr President in his great car. You’re a great driver Mr President!”
  • More odd statements - “As it happens you have arrived at a time when there is no mayor of Moscow,” Medvedev told Schwarzenegger at the presidential residence at Gorky. “In January you are leaving the governorship. If you were a Russian citizen you could have worked here,” Lifenews.ru reported.
Of course, there are other issues like his death's head belt buckle, or the fact that his father Gustav, was an Austrian police chief and member of the Nazi Party and SA. Then there's his issues with womenracism, or plethora of other problems.

At this point, most of this is pure observation, so we watch with a wary eye.

Democrats Get Your 401K, Republicans Get Your House and Stocks and the Globalists Win

The Real Effect is known for making some pretty bold statements throughout the years and for those of you that have been paying attention, these have been statements of fact. One such statement has been beaten on this blog like a dead horse -
The long and short is they are bleeding the real assets out of the United States and passing them into foreign control. Make no mistake, they will bleed this country dry. Savings, checkings, 401K, gold, assets, they want it all and will not stop until they get it. The only companies that survive will be those that primarily serve the industrial military complex. Overnight this country will be transformed into the new prison state for the Global Order. Get food, get water, get a gun and get ready to defend yourself.
Now I want you to take note of several things:
  1. I made no distinction between Republican or Democrat; because in actuality the distinction is merely on paper. Both parties have sold out to the globalist's agenda. (Don't believe so? Try not paying your property tax, or better yet, your income tax. It doesn't matter who's in control, you'll still get thrown in jail.)
  2. The actual target of any of the actions taken is real assets like physical commodities - Houses, 401ks, gold, cars, grain, companies. Note the price of some of these items are exploding.
  3. They want it all. There is NO MATHEMATICAL WAY that this can be resolved without taking a massive haircut. The banks created QUADRILLIONS of CDO's and other "Weapons of Financial Destruction". This is significantly more than the world GDP and will result in -
  4. Legalized slavery. Hence the final comment about defending yourself.
Don't believe me? Look at the facts - Under every administration for decades now, the size and scope of government has grown massively. You purchasing power has plunged, your "support" payments are shrinking, your job prospects are nill unless you have a government supported job.

The Democrats -
Democrats in the Senate on Thursday held a recess hearing covering a taxpayer bailout of union pensions and a plan to seize private 401(k) plans to more "fairly" distribute taxpayer-funded pensions to everyone.

Sen. Tom Harkin (D-Iowa), Chairman of the Health, Education, Labor and Pensions (HELP) Committee heard from hand-picked witnesses advocating the infamous "Guaranteed Retirement Account" (GRA) authored by Theresa Guilarducci.

(You can find the blistering interview with Guilarducci by radio talk show host Mark Levin in 2007 at the link).

In a nutshell, under the GRA system government would seize private 401(k) accounts, setting up an additional 5% mandatory payroll tax to dole out a "fair" pension to everyone using that confiscated money coupled with the mandated contributions. This would, of course, be a sister government ponzi scheme working in tandem with Social Security, the primary purpose being to give big government politicians additional taxpayer funds to raid to pay for their out-of-control spending.
The Republicans -

The Journal analysis showed that an aide to a Republican member of the Senate Banking Committee bought Bank of America Corp. stock before results of last year's government stress tests eased investor concerns about the health of the banking industry. A top aide to the House Speaker profited by trading shares of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae in a brokerage account with her husband two days before the government authorized emergency funding for the companies. Another aide to Republican lawmakers interested in energy issues, among other things, profited by trading in several renewable-energy firms.

The aides identified by the Journal say they didn't profit by making trades based on any information gathered in the halls of Congress. Even if they had done so, it would be legal, because insider-trading laws don't apply to Congress.

The Real Effect
If you're headed the wrong way, something I don't think that is in dispute, then logic dictates that you - TURN AROUND! If we've tried a century of increasing "social planning" and "expert" run institutions, then the logical conclusion is to turn the free market economy loose again. It is demonstrable that every time that this has been instituted, the economy and the country has rebounded in short order. After all, what do we have to lose?

Thursday, October 07, 2010

Keiser Report №83: Markets! Finance! Scandal!

Harvard Agrees With the Real Effect

Good to see that the colleges are getting a Real education by borrowing a page from our book -
Weaker than expected reports on private payrolls and planned layoffs Wednesday refueled expectations the Federal Reserve will soon embark on another round of stimulus, a.k.a. "QE2".

More Fed purchases of financial assets is "good for the bank," says Jeffrey Miron, a Harvard economics professor and a senior fellow at the Cato Institute. "But I don't see it having a very big affect in tricking down in terms of getting more investment, more lending."Miron is among a growing number of economists and market experts who believe the Fed is pushing on the proverbial string, i.e. can't do much to help the "real" economy.
The Real Effect
From the July 21st update U.S. Blows Trillions Trying to Push a String -
...the government is going to have to service this new debt (boulder) with new debt at either a higher amount of debt borrowed or higher rate . Yet, the market is saturated with debt both private and public viciously competing for whatever available liquidity is left. (The wall) In order to succeed in averting further crisis, the boulder needs to be kicked through the wall.

Is this possible? As long as there are gullible willing senior citizens clients to buy ever more debt, the boulder can be exchanged for a bigger one and successfully kicked through the wall.

At some point though, demand for U.S. debt will cease to an extent (2011?) and the bills will come due. At this point the government is going to have to figure out a new trick to take care of the debt fiasco. If that trick is money printing, (hyper-inflation) lookout as everything you think you own will suddenly belong to some man down the road named Chen.
Now,we didn't even have to make it to 2011 for the demand of US Treasuries to fall of dramatically. Once the European smokescreen subsided, the dollar crashed and the Fed became the buyer of last resort effectively monetizing the debt.

But wait, what's that!?! Is Greece on fire again!?

Wednesday, October 06, 2010

NIST - Firemen Explosion Testimony



Keep in mind, these are not "nutters" or individuals that have something to gain, these are people that were actually there.

D.C. Tests Uber-Democracy, Machines Get Hacked

Brad Blog covers the insanity -
Last week we told you about D.C.'s intention of running an insane live experiment on live voters in a live election with an untested, wholly unverifiable, easily-manipulated Internet Voting scheme this November, and about just some of the computer security and election experts who have been desperately trying to warn them against it.

And now we find out that the very short planned pre-election test phase, in which hackers were invited to try to manipulate the system, has been abruptly aborted in the wake of a, um, disturbing (if not wholly unpredictable) development.

The failed system in D.C. was developed with the Open Source Digital Voting Foundation, an outfit that is working with election officials around the country to push Internet Voting everywhere, along with other computerized voting schemes. Simply because a system is "open source" does not mean it's secure, particularly when it relies on concealed vote counting, as all of their e-vote schemes do.
Just in case you think this is an isolated incident, Brad Blog gives you a veritable buffet of hacking goodness.

 The Real Effect
Now I share your concerns - What could possibly be wrong with taking the bedrock of our nation and placing an already unverifiable system and making it significantly easier to falsify the results? After all it's not like the results are important. 


Who wants to wager on how long it will take the genuises designing this utopia of American freedom to declare it "safe" and "foolproof, like a lockbox"? And how long after that until the entire U.S. Congress decides that implementing this system worldwide is a brilliant idea?

Retail Destruction Comes to the US This Holiday Season

Zero Hedge covers the forthcoming retail storm -
What most people don’t understand is that the mega-retailers’ strategic plans were based upon never ending store growth, 5% comparable store growth for all eternity, a continuous flow of increasing easy credit, the American population staying frozen between the ages of 30 and 50 years old, and a delusional materialistic greed embraced by the masses. Mega retailers without growing comp store sales are like sharks that can’t swim. They will die.

I’ll use Target as an example. Almost everyone would agree they have been one of the best run retailers of the last two decades. They have over 1,700 stores in the US, with annual sales exceeding $65 billion and profits of $2.5 billion. How could a retailer this large and successful ever go bankrupt? They have $16.5 billion of debt and $15.3 billion of equity on their balance sheet for a 52% debt to equity level. This is not a dangerous level, but it is a heavy debt load. The deterioration always begins on the sales side. Comp store sales have been deteriorating since 2005 and were negative in 2008 and 2009.

The impact of this sales deterioration can be seen in their net income over the last five years. It is at the same level as it was in 2005 and $361 million lower than 2007. Target opened 343 new stores between 2005 and 2009 and its net income is the same. Net income per store has dropped from $1.72 million in 2005 to $1.43 million in 2009, a 17% drop per store. In their peak profit year of 2007, they generated $1.79 million profit per store.

What most people don’t know is that Target goosed their profits using the same method that Americans used to get “rich”. EASY CREDIT. When you’ve run out of ideas to grow your business, offer easy credit to your customers. It worked like a charm for Target until it didn’t. They issued millions of credit cards to the delusional masses. Who needed to sell stuff, when you could make so much lending money? In 2007, the Target credit card accounted for $1.06 billion of their $2.85 billion profit, or 37% of total profits. This was up from 22% of their profits in 2004. They’ve been learning a difficult lesson as credit card profits plunged to $400 million in 2009 as they desperately tried to sell their rapidly deteriorating portfolio with no takers to be found.

The beautifully constructed staircase of store growth seen in the chart below has reached the top floor. If Target foolishly continues to build new stores while Americans ratchet up their savings and ratcheting down their spending, they will end up taking an elevator straight to the basement. The credit card fountain of profits is gone. Same store sales growth is gone. New market growth is gone. It’s time to get real. The upper management of every retailer in America better pull out their little models and plug in declining consumer spending for the next decade. This will reveal the stores that won’t cut it. They will need to close them based on profitability. Will this be done? Absolutely not. The hotshot CEOs will think a better advertising campaign will do the trick. Delusions die slowly.

Tuesday, October 05, 2010

Firefighters Watch As Home Burns: Media Blames the Tea Party

Pay your protection money yet?

Currency Warfare and a New Global Monetary Unit

The economies of the world lurch towards destruction as no country can seem to destroy their currency fast enough.
US and Japan -
The dollar was set for a quarterly drop versus all of its major counterparts before data forecast to show U.S. business activity and manufacturing slowed. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke is scheduled to testify in Washington today amid speculation the central bank is preparing to buy more U.S. debt. The yen approached the strongest since the Bank of Japan intervened amid speculation exporters are bringing home overseas earnings before the end of the fiscal first half.

Mexico -
The FX war recently launched by every central bank in the world, just entered its modern warfare stage: we have learned that the Mexican Central Bank has just sold $600 million worth of USD options. That's right - the central bank of our southern neighbor has moved beyond merely pedestrian cash interventions and has entered the derivatives game, in their attempt to raise the US peso and lower its Mexican equivalent.
Peru -
After buying $200 million in the last two days, tiny little Peru is starting to show some serious resolve: over the past three days the small country has bought almost $400 million in USD.
Switzerland and perhaps most idiotically, China -
Lawmakers say China's currency is unfairly cheap and passed a measure Wednesday that opens the door to tariffs that aim to help U.S. companies compete.

The legislation, which authorizes the Commerce Department to impose duties on imports from countries with undervalued currencies, passed the House of Representatives by a vote of 348 to 79. The Senate, however, is not expected to take up the issue until later this year.
The Real Effect
Now, you may be asking yourself, "Self, why would all of these countries deliberately destroy their own currencies?" Simple, to beat everyone into accepting a new global currency, aptly named the Bancor.

Monday, October 04, 2010

Absolutley Stunning 10:10 Environmental Agenda Video

Just in case you think that you're NOT a target.

The Terrorists That Weren't

Continuing to build on the idea that 'No, the ee-vil Muslims are not out to get us' comes the following critical report -
In my previous article entitled “All Terrorists are Muslims…Except the 94% that Aren’t”, I used official FBI records to show that only 6% of terrorist attacks on U.S. soil from 1980 to 2005 were carried out by Islamic extremists. The remaining 94% were from other groups (42% from Latinos, 24% from extreme left wing groups, 7% from extremist Jews, 5% from communists, and 16% from all other groups).

But what about across the pond? The data gathered by Europol strengthens my argument even further. (hat tip: Koppe) Europol publishes an annual report entitled EU Terrorism Situation and Trend Report. On their official website, you can access the reports from 2007, 2008, and 2009. (If anyone can find the reports from earlier than that, please let me know so we can include those as well.)

The results are stark, and prove decisively that not all terrorists are Muslims. In fact, a whopping 99.6% of terrorist attacks in Europe were by non-Muslim groups; a good 84.8% of attacks were from separatist groups completely unrelated to Islam. Leftist groups accounted for over sixteen times as much terrorism as radical Islamic groups. Only a measly 0.4% of terrorist attacks from 2007 to 2009 could be attributed to extremist Muslims.
The Real Effect
Considering that a greater number of attacks were carried out by the ee-vil Jewz (7%) and that the 911 attacks were not carried out by Muslim fanatics, but at best Islamic posers, wouldn't logic dictate that we should be dropping bunker busters on Israel at this point to get Bin Laden, empire build, carry out regime change, save the poor oppressed Israeli women? This would seem to be far more in-line with our National Security goals to establish democracy everywhere than invading Burkhastan. Of course, think of the stimulation to the economy that bombing the crap out of freeing those poor souls would yield.

In all honesty, this should effectively put to rest the overblown idea that Iran is a threat let alone the concept that it's going to invade the United States at any time with an army of suicidal jihadi goat warriors. In fact if the reader is intellectually honest enough, he will correctly surmise that the largest threat is posed by bordering nation states like, uh Mexico who has been waging war on our border via MS13, La Raza and Aztlan for decades. (Let's not forget the groups funding them.) In addition, the reader should grasp that leftist groups, similar to the ones that have inhabited the White House for the last 100 years are a far greater threat than Osama-bin-what's-his-name anyway.

Iran Opens Airspace to China Warplanes

The Iranians demonstrate that they're not alone -
Ankara and Beijing conducted the drills in Turkey's Central Anatolia region last month.

The war games, codenamed the Anatolian Eagle, were the first involving Turkey and China. Turkey had previously carried out Anatolian Eagle maneuvers with the US and other NATO members as well as Israel.

Turkish F-16, Chinese Su-27 and Mig-29 fighter jets took part in mock dogfights during the drills.

The maneuvers come ahead of a planned visit by Chinese Prime Minister Wen Jiabao to Turkey.

Turkey and China took their first step in military cooperation in the late 1990s with joint missile production, manufacturing weapons with a 150-kilometer range, the Hurriyet daily reported on its website.

The multinational Anatolian Eagle exercise is hosted by the Turkish Air Forces and is aimed at boosting aerial cooperation and training. The exercises have been performed since June 2001.
The Real Effect
Note the inclusion of Turkey in the wargames, not unprecedented, but not exactly siding with Israel.

Seeing as how the US is howling about "fresh terror attacks" with intelligence reports that, ahem,
were not sparked any new intelligence, counter-terrorism, security and intelligence officials said.
it will be very curious to see if there are "terror attacks" before the next US election in November that can be pinned on any "regime" let alone Iran.

Friday, October 01, 2010

Compare the Two

There are many ideas floating around as to why the populace is angry. Many claim it's because of a lack of jobs, some claim that it's "anti-establishment" fever, racism, selfishness the ideas go on forever. I submit the following as a good snapshot as to why the political mood in this country is changing -
An Illinois state trooper who killed two teenage sisters in a high-speed collision, driving 126 mph while sending e-mails and speaking to his girlfriend on his cell phone, has filed a workers' compensation claim for injuries he says he sustained in the fatal crash.

For two years after the accident, Mitchell was placed on paid leave, continuing to earn his $68,000 annual salary. Mitchell pleaded guilty last year as part of a deal with prosecutors and served 90 days probation, never seeing any jail time.

On the day of the accident, Mitchell was responding at triple-digit speeds to the scene of an incident at which troopers were already present. He was simultaneously e-mailing colleagues and on the phone with his girlfriend, when his car jumped the median and struck the car in which the girls were riding.
 Is there any doubt that if a "civilian" had done this heinous thing, they would have been behind bars immediately let alone sitting at home getting paid. And now it is probable that parents who lost their children to this "official" will be paying for his self-inflicted disability?

Now, look at the following -
Median household income is falling in the vast majority of U.S. states and in virtually every single major U.S. city. According to the Census Bureau's annual survey of income and poverty in the United States, of the 52 largest metro areas in the nation, only the city of San Antonio did not see a decline in median household income in 2009.
In some areas of the United States, the decline in household income during 2009 was absolutely jaw dropping....

*In Detroit, median household income declined 10% to $48,535.
*In Orlando, median household income dropped almost 10% to $46,856.
*In Cleveland, median household income fell 8.5% to $45,395.
*In Miami, median household income declined 8.2% to $45,946.
*In Indianapolis, median household income dropped 7.1% to $50,140.

Remember, these declines were just in one single year.

Washington, D.C. has the highest median household income of any major U.S. city. With a median household income of $85,198, the folks over in D.C. are doing quite well.
The Real Effect
Getting the picture? "Government" today has bares little resemblance to the government of the past. True, they still perform some of the same roles, however they have taken the mantle of the great societal equalizer, stripping vast amounts of wealth from the people and bestowing it on themselves. (After all, they deserve a 200% salary for being so benevolent.)

These individuals are engaged in wholesale capitol stripping now, as they pursue economic and political policies that stop individuals from doing just about anything (Without rendering most of the profits to the government of course) and enable the "authorities" to literally get away with murder.

I have had countless discussions with people about removing giant parasitic agencies from their tax bill and have been typically met with a 'How could we possibly survive without it!?!'. With the Depression roaring, it won't be long until we don't have a choice.

Europe Is Coming Unglued Again - Specifically Ireland