Monday, November 05, 2012

2012 Election Predictions - By State, Detailed

I have already gone on record indicating that Romney will win by a slim majority in the popular vote but I wanted to take the time to break down this prediction to a electoral college level. For this, I am predicting the following Romney: 306 to Obama: 232. In particular, I believe the election can be broken down into the following categories - solid, swing and a third batch of problem states that will inevitably have massive irregularities. It's these problem states that will keep the nation up most of the night and cause headaches galore. (There are already indications that this is the case) Swing these problem states and the election becomes Romney 265 to Obama's 273.

Other notable thoughts:
  • Ohio is going to be a repeat of 2004, with allegations of machine rigging and the like.
    • Jon Husted is a name you'll be hearing a lot.
  • Florida "disenfranchisement" stories will be back.
  • Wisconsin is going to have plenty of stories of ineligible voters being bussed in and the like.
    • The momentum from the Walker recall elections will swing things to Romney.
  • Michigan goes Obama as payback for bailing out the auto industry. If by some odd chance Romney takes the state, expect riots.
  • The curious stories will be New York and New Jersey. How does the storm effect them?
  • I think it's telling that Massachusetts doesn't want Romney as President.
  • Pennsylvania goes Obama - Yes, Romney's building momentum. It's too little, too late.
  • Utah is going to be ecstatic that the first non-Christian President is a Mormon.
  • The military is going to start openly discussing coups if Obama wins by some odd fate.
  • The UN observers in Texas - They're going to find something to cast doubt on the entire voting process. It may not be very substantive, but the globalists need to hang their hats on something external.

Problem states that go Romney

Ohio 18
Virginia 13
Wisconsin 10


Swing states that go Romney

Colorado 9
Florida 29
Iowa 6
New Hampshire 4


Solid Romney states
Alabama 9
Alaska 3
Arizona 11
Arkansas 6
Georgia 16
Idaho 4
Indiana 11
Kansas 6
Kentucky 8
Louisiana 8
Massachusetts 11
Mississippi 6
Missouri 10
Montana 3
Nebraska 5
North Carolina 15
North Dakota 3
Oklahoma 7
South Carolina 9
South Dakota 3
Tennessee 11
Texas 38
Utah 6
West Virginia 5
Wyoming 3

Total 217

Swing states that go Obama
Pennsylvania 20
Nevada 6


Solid Obama states

California 55
Connecticut 7
Delaware 3
Hawaii 4
Illinois 20
Maine 4
Maryland 10
Michigan 16
Minnesota 10
New Jersey 14
New Mexico 5
New York 29
Oregon 7
Rhode Island 4
Vermont 3
Washington 12
Washington D.C. 3

Total 206

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