2012 Presidential Results

What a night. The big O retains his presidency despite an increasingly hostile and desperate economy and the Republicans are slapped down in a relative hardcore fashion. (Seriously, what happened to the Red State Nation, Tea Party Express and all this macho-esque posturing?) Blame has to lie somewhere and far be it from the Republicans to accept that they fielded a terrible candidate and ultimately, that is exactly why they lost. (A repeat of 2008) Instead, there will certainly be the inevitable backlash against perceived third parties tiers - Ron Paul, Gary Johnson, etc.. 'THEY did this to us!' 'If ONLY they would work with us!'

And yet, these cries ring incredibly hollow. Remember just a few short months ago, at the GOP convention?

"As goes Maine, so goes the nation!"

But instead of taking their protest to the convention floor, the group from Texas, Maine, Nevada and Colorado marched in the hallway outside the arena repeating the chant. A convention panel switched the Maine delegates from Paul to Mitt Romney last week, saying the Paul delegates were elected in violation of party and parliamentary rules.

Adding to the anger of Paul's delegates, the convention adopted new rules Tuesday designed to limit the ability of insurgent candidates win delegates in 2016.

The so-called 'Paulbots' which had claimed the states of Nevada, Maine, Minnesota and Iowa, (And who won those states yesterday?) were regularly attracting throngs of young voters and women. They had predicted the housing bubble, the 2008 collapse and had a definitive plan to deal with the national debt; were lambasted, ridiculed and driven from the party.

And yet, we have from the New Years' predictions -

Are we responsible for our own actions?

The obvious answer to that is - NO. The GOP does not want fix the issues, Gary Johnson does not want to fix the issues and neither does Obama. But how did this happen? What caused the election to flip to a largely derided golfing hack? Let's review the predictions. From the general predictions -

Romney will win.

Bzzzt. Wrong there. But why? Let's look deeper -

I'm guessing a 51.5% to 48.5% popular vote for Romney.

 Let's see, we've got 59,651,236 for Obama and 57,028,531 for Romney. That breaks down to 51.1% going for Obama and 48.9% going to Romney, so the percentages were correct, just the breakdown was wrong.

Turnout will be low

And what's the result?

Preliminary figures suggest fewer people voted this year than four years ago, when voters shattered turnout records as they elected Obama to his first term.

In most states, the numbers are shaping up to be even lower than in 2004, said Curtis Gans, director of American University's Center for the Study of the American Electorate. Every state is showing lower numbers than in 2008, Gans said. Still, the full picture may not be known for weeks because much of the counting takes place after Election Day.

"This is one of those rare elections in which turnout in every state in the nation went down," Gans said.

Ok, on the money there. So what's next?

There will be allegations of cheating by the Democrats

Just to be nice and clear, allegations made by the Democrats against the Republicans. It's quite possible we might need to get some allegations of cheating made by the Republicans first to either delegitimize or overturn the results. Likely? Probably not. But still a possibility.

We still have no answer as to what happened. So what was missed? I believe Vox is scratching around in the probable culprit -

The numbers aren't firm yet, of course, because the final totals haven't been reported. But even if we assume only another one point percentage increase so that 12.9 million of the approximately 24 million Hispanics eligible voted, the reported increase from 67 to 73 percent would be an increase from 7,802,320 to 9,417,000, which is a substantial portion of Obama's reported margin of victory. And those votes are spread out very liberally through swing states such as Virginia, Colorado, and even Iowa.

I believe his overall prognosis, is correct -

Contra some optimistic left-liberal assertions after the 2008 election, I was confident that the demographic tipping point hadn't been reached yet.  It could, however, happen as soon as 2016, and it will almost certainly happen by 2024.  Once Texas becomes a reliable Democratic stronghold, which it will thanks to its Hispanic immigrant population, it will be virtually impossible for a Republican to win the presidency again.

Unless, of course, the Republican party becomes the party of white nationalism and starts winning 75 to 80 percent of the white vote, which seems extremely unlikely given SWPL cultural influence, white female left-liberalism, and the party elite's preference for irrelevance to "extremism".  So, my prediction of a US collapse by 2033 would appear to be progressing rather nicely.

In short, we have hit the demographic wall. With a massively divided country, the concept of the 'melting pot' America has turned out to be a giant sham. I would imagine that Mitt is kicking himself over the "47%" comment right about now.

"There are 47 percent who are with [Obama], who are dependent upon government, who believe they are victims, who believe the government has a responsibility to care for them, who believe that they are entitled to health care, to food, to housing, to you name it." – Mitt Romney

Sometimes the truth, can kill. What can we glean from this? For this, we turn to Thomas Jefferson -

“A democracy is nothing more than mob rule, where fifty-one percent of the people may take away the rights of the other forty-nine.” Thomas Jefferson

Finally, let's spit out some quick bullet points over what went wrong and what's going to happen next.

• Ron Paul offered the GOP a chance to step in and fix the situation. Now they risk being voted out completely as a national party unless they completely give up their principles.
• They completely alienated the 'Libertarians' in a totally unnecessary move at the political convention. (This is not a small group. 5-10%?)
• This group, if it were embraced as opposed to ostracized could have provided the winning margins.
• When the majority realizes it can vote itself 'free stuff' there will be no end to the voting.
• This new majority consists primarily of black, Hispanic and feminist voters. (93% of the black vote, 69% of the Hispanic vote, and 74% of the Asian vote)
• When the majority runs out of free stuff, it will either extract the 'hoarding' by force or leave
• Producers will abandon ship more quickly now, exacerbating the problem.

We hit the debt wall and Congress fiddled. We've already started the IMF riots phase and now we've hit the cultural wall, what makes you think that any of them are on your side? More importantly, what makes you think they won't sacrifice you in the coming wars?